ANALISIS KEAKURATAN METODE DES DALAM MEMPREDIKSI PERMINTAAN KERAMIK DI FITRI KERAMIK

Fitri Keramik Shop sells various types of ceramics. In this research, the researcher created a system that can make it easier to predict demand for ceramics in the following month based on the categories in Fitri Keramik by explaining the correct method for forecasting, one of the methods that can be used is Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) which is a forecasting method using uses a number of new actual demand data to generate forecast values for future demand by finding the average value as a forecast for the future period. The results of predicting demand for ceramics using an alpha value of 0.3 and having the lowest error rate are May 2023, Terraso: 176; Mosaic : 169; Standard Ceramic Floor: 163; Squared : 117.